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OPEC Vienna

Global oil price on recovery trends as market remains under pressure

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Oil prices recovered some losses on Monday after a three percent fall in the previous session, but markets remain under pressure from high drilling activity in the United States and ample supplies from producer club OPEC.

Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $47.08 per barrel at 0537 GMT, up 37 cents, or 0.8 percent, from their last close.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $44.60 per barrel, up 37 cents, or 0.8 percent.

Traders said the higher prices were reflected opportunistic buying following Friday’s steep fall, but added that overall market conditions remain weak.

Brent prices are 17 percent below their 2017 opening despite a deal led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to cut production from January.

ANZ bank said on Monday that the market “continued to focus on the increasing (U.S.) drilling activity and higher production.”

U.S. energy firms added seven oil drilling rigs last week, marking a 24th week of increases out of the last 25 and bringing the total count up to 763, the most since April 2015, Baker Hughes energy Services Company said on Friday.

U.S. oil production has risen over 10 percent since mid-2016 to 9.34 million barrels per day (bpd).

The rising U.S. output comes as supplies from OPEC also remain ample despite a pledge by the group to cut production between January this year and March 2018.

OPEC exported 25.92 million barrels per day (bpd) in June, 450,000 bpd more than in May and 1.9 million bpd more than a year earlier.

Given ongoing oversupply, analysts said that the market was still some way off from finding a closer balance between demand and available supplies.

“There seems little hope for (market) rebalancing… unless we see an exceptional increase in demand as reining in supply seems to be getting tougher,” said Sukrit Vijayakar, director of energy consultancy Trifecta.

Business Hilights recalls that gasoline and natural-gas futures didn’t fare much better. Both fell around 9% during Q2. So, have we finally found a bottom in the energy markets … and oil in particular? Not quite yet, but my signals tell me it’s coming soon. I expect to see volatility continue throughout the energy complex. And we should see a little more downside in the near term for crude oil before we get a nice —tradable — rally later this month. We have already seen a nice rally in crude oil. West Texas Intermediate traded higher for eight-straight sessions before falling 4.1% Wednesday after reports surfaced that Russia opposed deeper OPEC-led production cuts, a bearish indicator.Consider … The major oil-producing nations …


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